Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Coyotes USI @ SDAK

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

0-2  |  Road

74
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Sanford Coyote Sports Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH DAKOTA

COYOTESSDAK

1-2  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
📊
COYOTES
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
COYOTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SOUTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (South Dakota)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 CoyotesSDAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

38.2%

Coyotes Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SDAK -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDAK)

USI By 1-7 points

21.6%

USI By 8-14 points

10.7%

SDAK By 1-7 points

27.2%

SDAK By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
75
SOUTHERN INDIANA
78
SOUTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
67
SOUTHERN INDIANA
72
SOUTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Coyotes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Coyotes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Coyotes (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Coyotes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 USI @ SDAK 74 - 89
Nov 22, 2024 SDAK @ USI 83 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +44.1% more
South Dakota: 8.2 vs Southern Indiana: 5.7
Field Goal % (L5) +10.1%
South Dakota: 46.5% vs Southern Indiana: 36.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
South Dakota: 34.3% vs Southern Indiana: 30.8%
Blocks (L5) +49.4% more
Southern Indiana: 5.0 vs South Dakota: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 75.0 74
SDAK Score 78.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 30.8 25.0 / 22.0
Assists 12.9 / 12.3 11.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.6 / 5.0 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 36.5 44.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 73.7 / 76.0 80.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 41.0 / 39.7 45.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.2 / 5.7 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 11.4 18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
SDAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
SDAK Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDAK
USI
SDAK
USI
ML
70% 21-9
67% 20-10
63% 19-11
61% 17-11
ATS
70% 21-9
70% 21-9
63% 19-11
61% 17-11
TTL
67% 20-10
73% 22-8
100% 30-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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