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UNC GREENSBORO

SPARTANSUNCG

0-2  |  Road

64
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

NC STATE

WOLFPACKNCSU

2-0  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
📊
WOLFPACK
0%
SPARTANS --
WOLFPACK --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NC STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (NC State)
SpartansUNCG (-3.5) 0 WolfpackNCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

38.2%

Wolfpack Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCSU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCSU)

UNCG By 1-7 points

21.6%

UNCG By 8-14 points

10.7%

NCSU By 1-7 points

27.2%

NCSU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
69
UNC GREENSBORO
72
NC STATE
Simulated Score
65
UNC GREENSBORO
78
NC STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolfpack Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolfpack Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolfpack (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Wolfpack (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 UNCG @ NCSU 64 - 110
Dec 15, 2019 NCSU @ UNCG 80 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +47.0% more
NC State: 7.7 vs UNC Greensboro: 5.2
Assists (L5) +38.4% more
NC State: 18.7 vs UNC Greensboro: 13.5
Free Throw % (L5) +11.9%
NC State: 77.9% vs UNC Greensboro: 66.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
NC State: 48.3% vs UNC Greensboro: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCG Score 69.0 64
NCSU Score 72.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 35.0 50.0 / 31.0
Assists 18.7 / 13.5 17.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.0 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 43.4 56.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 77.9 / 66.0 78.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 35.9 43.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.7 / 5.2 9.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 11.5 4.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
13%MONEY87%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCG
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: -1.0
NCSU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCG
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: -1.0
NCSU Advantage
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCG
22-10-0
O: 68.8% / U: 31.3% Total +/-: +7.9
NCSU
21-13-0
O: 61.8% / U: 38.2% Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCSU
UNCG
NCSU
UNCG
ML
59% 20-14
38% 13-21
55% 18-15
71% 24-10
ATS
71% 24-10
44% 15-19
55% 18-15
71% 24-10
TTL
71% 24-10
76% 26-8
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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