Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Hurricane @ Golden Eagles TLSA @ ORU

TULSA

GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA

2-0  |  Road

88
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Mabee Center
View Odds Details →

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

1-1  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
GOLDEN HURRICANE --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ORAL ROBERTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Oral Roberts)
Golden HurricaneTLSA (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesORU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Hurricane Cover

46.0%

Golden Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORU)

TLSA By 1-7 points

24.3%

TLSA By 8-14 points

13.7%

ORU By 1-7 points

26.2%

ORU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
69
TULSA
70
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
68
TULSA
72
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 TLSA @ ORU 88 - 87
Nov 13, 2024 ORU @ TLSA 76 - 85
Dec 2, 2023 TLSA @ ORU 70 - 79
Dec 3, 2022 ORU @ TLSA 77 - 66
Nov 29, 2021 TLSA @ ORU 80 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +98.6% more
Oral Roberts: 5.6 vs Tulsa: 2.8
Steals (L5) +22.4% more
Oral Roberts: 7.3 vs Tulsa: 6.0
Free Throw % (L5) +7.8%
Oral Roberts: 78.3% vs Tulsa: 70.5%
Assists (L5) +21.1% more
Tulsa: 15.1 vs Oral Roberts: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score 69.0 88
ORU Score 70.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.6 / 35.5 42.0 / 43.0
Assists 11.9 / 15.1 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.6 / 2.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 38.8 / 47.7 50.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 78.3 / 70.5 65.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 37.7 29.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.0 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 12.3 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA Advantage
30-8-0 (79.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA Advantage
20-15-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.8
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
TLSA
ORU
TLSA
ML
85% 28-5
66% 25-13
73% 24-9
64% 23-13
ATS
82% 27-6
74% 28-10
73% 24-9
64% 23-13
TTL
61% 20-13
58% 22-16
100% 33-0
100% 36-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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