DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
0-1 | Road
75
BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
0-2 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BIG GREEN
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BRYANT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Bryant)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRY -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRY)
DART By 1-7 points
18.6%
DART By 8-14 points
8.0%
BRY By 1-7 points
27.2%
BRY By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
74
DARTMOUTH
Bryant
79
BRYANT
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
65
DARTMOUTH
Bryant
78
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u151.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
DART @ BRY
75 - 82
Nov 11, 2022
BRY @ DART
89 - 70
Nov 28, 2021
DART @ BRY
63 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+63.6% more
Bryant: 5.2
vs
Dartmouth: 3.2
Steals (L5)
+19.6% more
Bryant: 6.0
vs
Dartmouth: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+15.1% more
Bryant: 13.0
vs
Dartmouth: 11.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Bryant: 26.0%
vs
Dartmouth: 23.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
74.0
75
BRY Score
79.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.0 / 23.2
34.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.0 / 11.3
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.2
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
37.8 / 39.2
44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 73.0
82.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 37.2
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.0
11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 14.5
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
Advantage
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
Advantage
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRY
DART
BRY
DART
ML
70%
21-9
62%
16-10
80%
24-6
50%
13-13
ATS
73%
22-8
65%
17-9
80%
24-6
50%
13-13
TTL
67%
20-10
88%
23-3
100%
30-0
100%
26-0
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