Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Jaspers @ Trailblazers MAN @ UTU

MANHATTAN

JASPERSMAN

1-1  |  Road

79
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 9:30 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

2-2  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
0%
📊
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
JASPERS --
TRAILBLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
MANHATTAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Manhattan)
JaspersMAN (-3.5) 0 TrailblazersUTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaspers Cover

81.6%

Trailblazers Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MAN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MAN)

MAN By 1-7 points

24.3%

MAN By 8-14 points

26.8%

UTU By 1-7 points

12.2%

UTU By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
83
MANHATTAN
74
UTAH TECH
Simulated Score
68
MANHATTAN
72
UTAH TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaspers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trailblazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaspers (-3) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Trailblazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 MAN @ UTU 79 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +32.3% more
Manhattan: 16.3 vs Utah Tech: 11.0
Steals (L5) +20.9% more
Manhattan: 7.6 vs Utah Tech: 6.0
Free Throw % (L5) +12.5%
Manhattan: 79.9% vs Utah Tech: 67.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Manhattan: 45.5% vs Utah Tech: 41.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MAN Score 83.0 79
UTU Score 74.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.4 / 32.6 32.0 / 42.0
Assists 11.0 / 16.3 11.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.6 / 2.2 0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 45.5 43.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 79.9 60.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 39.3 36.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.0 / 7.6 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 9.9 8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1 (36.7%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +2.4
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTU
MAN
UTU
MAN
ML
68% 23-11
52% 16-15
62% 21-13
68% 21-10
ATS
65% 22-12
52% 16-15
62% 21-13
69% 22-10
TTL
65% 22-12
77% 24-7
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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