Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Dons PRST @ SF

PORTLAND STATE

VIKINGSPRST

1-2  |  Road

70
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 10:00 PM ET
The Sobrato Center
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

DONSSF

2-1  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
DONS
0%
VIKINGS --
DONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (San Francisco)
VikingsPRST (-3.5) 0 DonsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

2.9%

Dons Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SF -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

PRST By 1-7 points

2.2%

PRST By 8-14 points

0.4%

SF By 1-7 points

9.3%

SF By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
PORTLAND STATE
76
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
65
PORTLAND STATE
82
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dons (+13) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Dons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 PRST @ SF 70 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +16.1% more
San Francisco: 3.7 vs Portland State: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5) +9.2%
San Francisco: 74.2% vs Portland State: 64.9%
Assists (L5) +15.3% more
Portland State: 18.8 vs San Francisco: 16.0
Steals (L5) +12.4% more
Portland State: 9.4 vs San Francisco: 8.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRST Score 57.0 70
SF Score 76.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 33.8 40.0 / 33.0
Assists 16.0 / 18.8 14.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.2 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 49.5 44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 64.9 72.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 40.0 43.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.2 / 9.4 5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 14.5 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
SF
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST Advantage
18-9-1 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
SF
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.9
SF
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
PRST
SF
PRST
ML
39% 13-20
65% 20-11
64% 21-12
71% 22-9
ATS
42% 14-19
71% 22-9
64% 21-12
71% 22-9
TTL
73% 24-9
47% 14-16-1
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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