Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Delta Devils @ Rainbow Warriors MVSU @ HAW

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

1-2  |  Road

56
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 11:59 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

1-1  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
📊
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
DELTA DEVILS --
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Hawai'i)
Delta DevilsMVSU (-3.5) 0 Rainbow WarriorsHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delta Devils Cover

9.7%

Rainbow Warriors Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)

MVSU By 1-7 points

6.8%

MVSU By 8-14 points

1.7%

HAW By 1-7 points

18.6%

HAW By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
63
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
76
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
56
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
78
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors (+41.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 MVSU @ HAW 56 - 88
Nov 11, 2022 MVSU @ HAW 54 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +9.2% more
Hawai'i: 13.1 vs Mississippi Valley State: 12.0
Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Hawai'i: 44.2% vs Mississippi Valley State: 38.5%
Turnovers (L5) +23.3% more
Mississippi Valley State: 19.1 vs Hawai'i: 14.6
Blocks (L5) +21.7% more
Mississippi Valley State: 3.7 vs Hawai'i: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score 63.0 56
HAW Score 76.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 33.1 43.0 / 31.0
Assists 13.1 / 12.0 19.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.7 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 38.5 50.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 73.3 / 78.2 76.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 36.3 45.0 / 24.0
Steals 5.9 / 6.9 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 19.1 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
MVSU
HAW
MVSU
ML
61% 20-13
91% 30-3
68% 21-10
75% 18-6
ATS
67% 22-11
82% 27-6
68% 21-10
75% 18-6
TTL
61% 20-13
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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