Home / NFL Projections NFL / Packers @ Giants GB @ NYG

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

5-3-1  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-8  |  Home

20
Key Game
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
@
Gunner Olszewski
KEY GAME

Gunner Olszewski

#80 | Wide Receiver
Player
Daniel Whelan None-None
Gunner Olszewski None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACKERS
100%
📊
GIANTS
0%
PACKERS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (New York)
PackersGB (-3.5) 0 GiantsNYG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Packers Cover

30.9%

Giants Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYG -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)

GB By 1-6 points

12.9%

GB By 7-13 points

9.6%

NYG By 1-6 points

16.5%

NYG By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
20
GREEN BAY
27
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
20
GREEN BAY
27
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o41.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
D
Sim u41.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 16, 2025 GB @ NYG 27 - 20
Dec 11, 2023 GB @ NYG 22 - 24
Oct 9, 2022 NYG @ GB 27 - 22
Dec 1, 2019 GB @ NYG 31 - 13
Jan 8, 2017 NYG @ GB 13 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +22.4% more
New York: 131.9 vs Green Bay: 107.8
Turnovers (L5) +44.6% more
Green Bay: 1.3 vs New York: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 20.0 27
NYG Score 27.0 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.0 / 20.1 22.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards 217.3 / 229.4 194.0 / 168.0
Rushing Yards 131.9 / 107.8 142.0 / 128.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.64
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.6 / 0.4
Total Yards 349.2 / 337.3 336.0 / 296.0
Turnovers 0.7 / 1.3 2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 5.4 4.9 / 5.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
GB
NYG
GB
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
ATS
100% 4-0
0% 0-3-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2-1
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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