Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Rams SEA @ LAR

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

7-2  |  Road

19
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 4:05 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

7-2  |  Home

21
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
SEAHAWKS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
69.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Los Angeles)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

5.0%

Rams Cover

95.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAR -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

SEA By 1-6 points

2.9%

SEA By 7-13 points

1.3%

LAR By 1-6 points

6.5%

LAR By 7-13 points

12.9%

AI Model Projected Score
23
SEATTLE
46
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
20
SEATTLE
24
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (-3) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 69.0
D
Sim u48.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 25, 2026 LAR @ SEA 27 - 31
Dec 18, 2025 LAR @ SEA 37 - 38
Nov 16, 2025 SEA @ LAR 19 - 21
Jan 5, 2025 SEA @ LAR 30 - 25
Nov 3, 2024 LAR @ SEA 26 - 20
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +31.8% more
Los Angeles: 26.9 vs Seattle: 20.4
Turnovers (L5) +82.9% more
Seattle: 2.1 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Yards Per Play (L5) +15.4% more
Seattle: 6.7 vs Los Angeles: 5.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +8.5% more
Seattle: 132.5 vs Los Angeles: 121.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 23.0 19
LAR Score 46.0 21
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 26.9 / 20.4 12.0 / 26.0
Net Passing Yards 255.8 / 240.8 130.0 / 279.0
Rushing Yards 121.3 / 132.5 119.0 / 135.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.18 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.37 / 0.63
Total Yards 377.1 / 373.4 249.0 / 414.0
Turnovers 0.4 / 2.1 1.0 / 4.0
Yards Per Play 5.7 / 6.7 5.0 / 5.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
SEA
LAR
SEA
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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