CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
6-4 | Road
113
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
9-2 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
PISTONS
0%
BULLS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CHI By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
13.7%
DET By 1-7 points
26.2%
DET By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
104
CHICAGO
Detroit
105
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Detroit
112
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.5
Loss
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DET @ CHI
126 - 110
Jan 7, 2026
CHI @ DET
93 - 108
Nov 12, 2025
CHI @ DET
113 - 124
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ CHI
111 - 115
Feb 12, 2025
DET @ CHI
128 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+46.0% more
Detroit: 12.0
vs
Chicago: 8.2
Blocks (L5)
+15.3% more
Detroit: 4.5
vs
Chicago: 3.9
Rebounding (L5)
+13.6% more
Detroit: 47.3
vs
Chicago: 41.6
Turnovers (L5)
+8.9% more
Detroit: 13.8
vs
Chicago: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
104.0
113
DET Score
105.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 39.7
43.0 / 36.0
Assists
24.7 / 25.9
30.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.9
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 45.7
56.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
67.7 / 74.5
69.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
47.3 / 41.6
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
12.0 / 8.2
13.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 12.7
19.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHI
DET
CHI
ML
55%
64-53
56%
54-42
49%
47-49
57%
46-35
ATS
53%
60-54-3
65%
62-33-1
49%
47-49
57%
46-35
TTL
60%
70-46-1
58%
56-40
100%
96-0
100%
81-0
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