Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Knicks ORL @ NY

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

5-6  |  Road

124
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

7-3  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
MAGIC --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (New York)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

0.6%

Knicks Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

ORL By 1-7 points

0.5%

ORL By 8-14 points

0.1%

NY By 1-7 points

3.3%

NY By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
97
ORLANDO
122
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
105
ORLANDO
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (-4) Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u227.5 Loss
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim u227.5 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 NY @ ORL 132 - 120
Dec 7, 2025 ORL @ NY 100 - 106
Nov 22, 2025 NY @ ORL 121 - 133
Nov 12, 2025 ORL @ NY 124 - 107
Jan 6, 2025 ORL @ NY 103 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +30.3% more
New York: 9.0 vs Orlando: 6.9
Assists (L5) +29.0% more
New York: 29.4 vs Orlando: 22.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
New York: 41.6% vs Orlando: 31.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
New York: 49.2% vs Orlando: 46.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 97.0 124
NY Score 122.0 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.6 / 31.8 31.0 / 36.0
Assists 29.4 / 22.8 20.0 / 29.0
Blocks 3.4 / 5.2 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 46.2 44.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 77.2 / 77.0 78.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 42.1 / 41.3 37.0 / 49.0
Steals 9.0 / 6.9 10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 13.8 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
ORL
NY
ORL
ML
61% 114-72
61% 65-42
56% 57-45
56% 51-40
ATS
67% 124-62
64% 68-38-1
56% 57-45
56% 51-40
TTL
72% 133-53
57% 61-46
100% 102-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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