LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
1-1 | Road
76
AIR FORCE
FALCONSAF
0-2 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
FALCONS
100%
SHARKS
--
FALCONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
AIR FORCE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AF +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AF)
LIU By 1-7 points
26.2%
LIU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AF By 1-7 points
24.3%
AF By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
68
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Air Force
67
AIR FORCE
Simulated Score
Long Island University
61
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Air Force
72
AIR FORCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Falcons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Falcons (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Falcons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
LIU @ AF
76 - 72
Nov 11, 2024
LIU @ AF
63 - 54
Nov 10, 2023
AF @ LIU
82 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+55.0% more
Long Island University: 4.8
vs
Air Force: 2.2
Steals (L5)
+13.8% more
Long Island University: 8.8
vs
Air Force: 7.6
Rebounding (L5)
+12.4% more
Long Island University: 38.4
vs
Air Force: 33.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
Long Island University: 47.4%
vs
Air Force: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
68.0
76
AF Score
67.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 35.6
39.0 / 50.0
Assists
13.3 / 13.2
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.2 / 4.8
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 47.4
43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
58.3 / 64.3
60.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 38.4
32.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.6 / 8.8
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
18.4 / 16.3
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
AF
Advantage
3-29-0
(9.4%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
AF
Advantage
10-21-1
(32.3%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
AF
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AF
LIU
AF
LIU
ML
81%
26-6
60%
21-14
62%
20-12
69%
24-11
ATS
69%
22-10
63%
22-13
62%
20-12
69%
24-11
TTL
69%
22-10
60%
21-14
100%
32-0
100%
35-0
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