Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bisons @ Bulldogs LIP @ UNCA

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

0-2  |  Road

64
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 6:30 PM ET
Kimmel Arena
View Odds Details →

UNC ASHEVILLE

BULLDOGSUNCA

0-2  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
BISONS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Lipscomb)
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 BulldogsUNCA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

95.5%

Bulldogs Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIP -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

LIP By 1-7 points

12.2%

LIP By 8-14 points

23.0%

UNCA By 1-7 points

3.3%

UNCA By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
81
LIPSCOMB
64
UNC ASHEVILLE
Simulated Score
75
LIPSCOMB
72
UNC ASHEVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bisons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bisons (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Bisons (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 LIP @ UNCA 64 - 69
Nov 24, 2023 LIP @ UNCA 86 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +40.4% more
Lipscomb: 15.4 vs UNC Asheville: 9.2
Free Throw % (L5) +14.3%
Lipscomb: 86.8% vs UNC Asheville: 72.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Lipscomb: 32.8% vs UNC Asheville: 30.4%
Blocks (L5) +59.4% more
UNC Asheville: 4.4 vs Lipscomb: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 81.0 64
UNCA Score 64.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 32.8 35.0 / 23.0
Assists 9.2 / 15.4 9.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.4 / 2.8 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 40.8 50.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 72.5 / 86.8 63.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 31.6 34.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.8 / 5.1 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.7 / 13.0 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
UNCA
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
UNCA Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCA
LIP
UNCA
LIP
ML
53% 16-14
71% 22-9
63% 19-11
66% 19-10
ATS
57% 17-13
71% 22-9
63% 19-11
66% 19-10
TTL
60% 18-12
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
ACC Commissioner Jim Phillips Shrugs Off Realignment Buzz, Decla…
observer_reporter 2 days, 1 hour ago
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 13 hours ago
John Calipari Clarifies Stance on Player Compensation After Vira…
sportingnews 5 days, 21 hours ago
Calipari Drops Stunner: Nine Arkansas Players Outearn Assistant …
yahoo 1 week ago
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
si 1 week, 3 days ago