Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Demon Deacons @ Wolverines WAKE @ MICH

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

2-1  |  Road

84
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 6:30 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

MICHIGAN

WOLVERINESMICH

2-0  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
DEMON DEACONS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
DEMON DEACONS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Michigan)
Demon DeaconsWAKE (-3.5) 0 WolverinesMICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Demon Deacons Cover

46.0%

Wolverines Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)

WAKE By 1-7 points

24.3%

WAKE By 8-14 points

13.7%

MICH By 1-7 points

26.2%

MICH By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
WAKE FOREST
39
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
72
WAKE FOREST
75
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 WAKE @ MICH 84 - 85
Nov 10, 2024 MICH @ WAKE 70 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +36.4% more
Michigan: 18.7 vs Wake Forest: 13.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.1%
Michigan: 37.4% vs Wake Forest: 26.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +9.5%
Michigan: 81.2% vs Wake Forest: 71.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Michigan: 48.0% vs Wake Forest: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score 38.0 84
MICH Score 39.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 26.3 16.0 / 29.0
Assists 18.7 / 13.7 20.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.9 / 5.0 8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 41.2 45.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 81.2 / 71.7 68.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 41.9 50.0 / 43.0
Steals 4.0 / 10.3 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 13.4 17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
MICH Advantage
37-3-0 (92.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
MICH Advantage
19-21-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 17.8 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
WAKE
MICH
WAKE
ML
78% 31-9
49% 17-18
63% 24-14
61% 20-13
ATS
78% 31-9
66% 23-12
63% 24-14
61% 20-13
TTL
57% 23-17
60% 21-14
100% 38-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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