Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dragons @ Raiders DREX @ COLG

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

1-1  |  Road

83
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Cotterell Court
View Odds Details →

COLGATE

RAIDERSCOLG

0-2  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
100%
📊
RAIDERS
0%
DRAGONS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colgate)
DragonsDREX (-3.5) 0 RaidersCOLG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dragons Cover

46.0%

Raiders Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)

DREX By 1-7 points

24.3%

DREX By 8-14 points

13.7%

COLG By 1-7 points

26.2%

COLG By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
62
DREXEL
63
COLGATE
Simulated Score
69
DREXEL
73
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (+4) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.0 Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u143.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 DREX @ COLG 83 - 90
Nov 9, 2024 COLG @ DREX 56 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +8.6%
Colgate: 74.1% vs Drexel: 65.5%
Blocks (L5) +56.3% more
Drexel: 5.2 vs Colgate: 2.3
Rebounding (L5) +19.7% more
Drexel: 41.0 vs Colgate: 32.9
Steals (L5) +16.9% more
Drexel: 7.7 vs Colgate: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DREX Score 62.0 83
COLG Score 63.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 34.9 62.0 / 44.0
Assists 13.6 / 15.2 16.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.3 / 5.2 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 43.9 63.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 74.1 / 65.5 89.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 41.0 27.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.4 / 7.7 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 12.0 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
COLG Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
COLG
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
DREX
COLG
DREX
ML
59% 19-13
58% 19-14
69% 22-10
81% 26-6
ATS
72% 23-9
70% 23-10
70% 23-10
81% 26-6
TTL
78% 25-7
48% 16-17
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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