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ALCORN STATE

BRAVESALCN

0-3  |  Road

64
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
XFINITY Center
View Odds Details →

MARYLAND

TERRAPINSMD

1-1  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
📊
TERRAPINS
0%
BRAVES --
TERRAPINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Maryland)
BravesALCN (-3.5) 0 TerrapinsMD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

0.0%

Terrapins Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MD -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)

ALCN By 1-7 points

0.0%

ALCN By 8-14 points

0.0%

MD By 1-7 points

0.5%

MD By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
55
ALCORN STATE
88
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
58
ALCORN STATE
85
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Terrapins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terrapins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Terrapins (-29.5) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Terrapins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 ALCN @ MD 64 - 84
Dec 1, 2024 ALCN @ MD 58 - 96
Dec 12, 2023 ALCN @ MD 65 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.9% more
Maryland: 33.8 vs Alcorn State: 29.2
Free Throw % (L5) +13.5%
Maryland: 81.4% vs Alcorn State: 67.9%
Blocks (L5) +35.3% more
Alcorn State: 4.7 vs Maryland: 3.1
Turnovers (L5) +31.3% more
Alcorn State: 15.8 vs Maryland: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score 55.0 64
MD Score 88.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 35.4 29.0 / 39.0
Assists 9.4 / 11.2 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.7 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 37.5 / 41.9 50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 81.4 / 67.9 74.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 29.2 37.0 / 25.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.7 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 15.8 17.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
MD Advantage
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
MD
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
ALCN
MD
ALCN
ML
70% 23-10
66% 21-11
67% 22-11
75% 18-6
ATS
64% 21-12
68% 21-10-1
67% 22-11
75% 18-6
TTL
64% 21-12
47% 15-17
100% 33-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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