Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Wildcats SHU @ VILL

SACRED HEART

PIONEERSSHU

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60
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Finneran Pavilion
View Odds Details →

VILLANOVA

WILDCATSVILL

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94
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
PIONEERS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VILLANOVA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Villanova)
PioneersSHU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsVILL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

42.1%

Wildcats Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VILL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VILL)

SHU By 1-7 points

23.0%

SHU By 8-14 points

12.2%

VILL By 1-7 points

26.8%

VILL By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
81
SACRED HEART
83
VILLANOVA
Simulated Score
60
SACRED HEART
82
VILLANOVA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o160.5 Loss
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 SHU @ VILL 60 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +51.3% more
Sacred Heart: 2.7 vs Villanova: 1.3
Steals (L5) +31.9% more
Sacred Heart: 8.7 vs Villanova: 6.0
Turnovers (L5) +31.3% more
Sacred Heart: 12.8 vs Villanova: 8.8
Assists (L5) +20.3% more
Sacred Heart: 16.4 vs Villanova: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SHU Score 81.0 60
VILL Score 83.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.2 / 30.0 51.0 / 40.0
Assists 13.1 / 16.4 28.0 / 16.0
Blocks 1.3 / 2.7 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 42.4 55.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 68.6 / 69.7 67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 41.5 / 43.8 35.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.0 / 8.7 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 12.8 13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
VILL Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -1.3
VILL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.5
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VILL
SHU
VILL
SHU
ML
44% 14-18
61% 20-13
72% 23-9
73% 24-9
ATS
56% 18-14
76% 25-8
72% 23-9
73% 24-9
TTL
41% 13-19
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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