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GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

1-1  |  Road

95
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Alico Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

1-1  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
EAGLES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida Gulf Coast)
EaglesGASO (-3.5) 0 EaglesFGCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

46.0%

Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FGCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FGCU)

GASO By 1-7 points

24.3%

GASO By 8-14 points

13.7%

FGCU By 1-7 points

26.2%

FGCU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
73
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
74
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
71
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
76
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 GASO @ FGCU 95 - 94
Dec 19, 2023 FGCU @ GASO 53 - 42
Nov 30, 2022 FGCU @ GASO 70 - 53
Dec 22, 2020 GASO @ FGCU 60 - 73
Dec 1, 2019 GASO @ FGCU 72 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +55.6% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 3.1 vs Georgia Southern: 2.0
Rebounding (L5) +18.9% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 41.2 vs Georgia Southern: 34.7
Assists (L5) +9.8% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 13.8 vs Georgia Southern: 12.6
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
Florida Gulf Coast: 73.0% vs Georgia Southern: 65.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GASO Score 73.0 95
FGCU Score 74.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.0 / 34.6 37.0 / 45.0
Assists 13.8 / 12.6 16.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.0 0.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 40.2 / 45.1 47.0 / 59.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 65.9 45.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 41.2 / 34.7 50.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.8 / 9.2 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 6.5 / 11.2 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
FGCU
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO Advantage
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
GASO
FGCU
GASO
ML
58% 19-14
56% 20-16
67% 22-11
58% 19-14
ATS
61% 20-13
64% 23-13
67% 22-11
58% 19-14
TTL
61% 20-13
61% 22-14
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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