WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
2-0 | Road
86
RICHMOND
SPIDERSRICH
2-0 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
TRIBE
0%
SPIDERS
100%
TRIBE
--
SPIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
WILLIAM & MARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (William & Mary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around W&M -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (W&M)
W&M By 1-7 points
5.8%
W&M By 8-14 points
15.3%
RICH By 1-7 points
1.1%
RICH By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
William & Mary
85
WILLIAM & MARY
Richmond
63
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
William & Mary
62
WILLIAM & MARY
Richmond
75
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tribe
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tribe (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Spiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
W&M @ RICH
86 - 90
Dec 18, 2024
RICH @ W&M
87 - 93
Dec 2, 2023
W&M @ RICH
69 - 88
Dec 3, 2022
RICH @ W&M
57 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+55.8% more
William & Mary: 3.6
vs
Richmond: 1.6
Turnovers (L5)
+36.0% more
William & Mary: 14.9
vs
Richmond: 9.5
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
William & Mary: 9.2
vs
Richmond: 7.3
Assists (L5)
+19.3% more
William & Mary: 18.4
vs
Richmond: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
W&M Score
85.0
86
RICH Score
63.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 35.4
28.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.8 / 18.4
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
1.6 / 3.6
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 48.2
36.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
81.0 / 70.8
76.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 39.3
53.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.3 / 9.2
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 14.9
15.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
W&M
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
RICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
W&M
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
RICH
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
W&M
RICH
W&M
ML
53%
17-15
55%
17-14
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
ATS
44%
14-18
63%
19-11-1
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
TTL
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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