Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Skyhawks @ Rams STO @ URI

STONEHILL

SKYHAWKSSTO

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57
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Thomas M. Ryan Center
View Odds Details →

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

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80
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
SKYHAWKS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Rhode Island)
SkyhawksSTO (-3.5) 0 RamsURI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Skyhawks Cover

46.0%

Rams Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

STO By 1-7 points

24.3%

STO By 8-14 points

13.7%

URI By 1-7 points

26.2%

URI By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
69
STONEHILL
70
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
61
STONEHILL
76
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 STO @ URI 57 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +64.8% more
Rhode Island: 9.1 vs Stonehill: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5) +9.8%
Rhode Island: 73.3% vs Stonehill: 63.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Rhode Island: 46.6% vs Stonehill: 44.6%
Blocks (L5) +22.3% more
Stonehill: 3.4 vs Rhode Island: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STO Score 69.0 57
URI Score 70.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 34.8 21.0 / 29.0
Assists 14.2 / 15.4 8.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.7 / 3.4 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 44.6 48.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 73.3 / 63.5 82.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 40.4 36.0 / 35.0
Steals 9.1 / 5.5 17.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 13.9 11.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
URI Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO Advantage
14-15-2 (48.3%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: +0.5
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5% Total +/-: -4.0
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
STO
URI
STO
ML
62% 20-12
45% 15-18
59% 19-13
70% 23-10
ATS
56% 18-14
39% 13-20
59% 19-13
70% 23-10
TTL
56% 18-14
55% 18-15
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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