CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
1-1 | Road
60
BOSTON COLLEGE
EAGLESBC
1-1 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
100%
EAGLES
0%
BLUE DEVILS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Boston College)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)
CCSU By 1-7 points
21.6%
CCSU By 8-14 points
10.7%
BC By 1-7 points
27.2%
BC By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
59
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Boston College
62
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
60
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Boston College
85
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
CCSU @ BC
60 - 59
Dec 5, 2023
CCSU @ BC
68 - 82
Dec 15, 2019
CCSU @ BC
55 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.6% more
Central Connecticut: 15.2
vs
Boston College: 11.1
Turnovers (L5)
+17.9% more
Central Connecticut: 11.2
vs
Boston College: 9.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.6%
Central Connecticut: 75.5%
vs
Boston College: 62.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Central Connecticut: 28.9%
vs
Boston College: 26.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
59.0
60
BC Score
62.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.5 / 28.9
21.0 / 36.0
Assists
11.1 / 15.2
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.4
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 41.4
33.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
62.0 / 75.5
89.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 42.7
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.2
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 11.2
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
BC
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
Advantage
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
BC
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -3.3
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
CCSU
BC
CCSU
ML
61%
19-12
57%
17-13
61%
17-11
57%
17-13
ATS
73%
22-8-1
63%
19-11
61%
17-11
57%
17-13
TTL
61%
19-12
60%
18-12
100%
28-0
100%
30-0
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