NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
1-1 | Road
77
HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
2-0 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
CRIMSON
0%
HUSKIES
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
113.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Harvard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HARV -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)
NE By 1-7 points
24.3%
NE By 8-14 points
13.7%
HARV By 1-7 points
26.2%
HARV By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Northeastern
56
NORTHEASTERN
Harvard
57
HARVARD
Simulated Score
Northeastern
68
NORTHEASTERN
Harvard
72
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crimson
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crimson (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Crimson (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 113.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
NE @ HARV
77 - 60
Nov 13, 2024
HARV @ NE
56 - 78
Nov 14, 2023
NE @ HARV
56 - 80
Nov 16, 2022
HARV @ NE
70 - 69
Nov 27, 2021
NE @ HARV
57 - 77
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.1%
Harvard: 38.8%
vs
Northeastern: 26.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.3%
Harvard: 79.4%
vs
Northeastern: 69.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Harvard: 48.7%
vs
Northeastern: 42.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+14.0% more
Northeastern: 10.7
vs
Harvard: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NE Score
56.0
77
HARV Score
57.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 26.7
30.0 / 43.0
Assists
13.3 / 12.6
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.8
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 42.0
37.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
79.4 / 69.1
83.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 33.4
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.7 / 8.2
5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 10.7
18.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
NE
HARV
NE
ML
45%
13-16
70%
21-9
52%
15-14
60%
18-12
ATS
45%
13-16
63%
19-11
52%
15-14
60%
18-12
TTL
41%
12-17
53%
16-14
100%
29-0
100%
30-0
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