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EASTERN ILLINOIS

PANTHERSEIU

1-1  |  Road

58
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:30 PM ET
Purcell Pavilion
View Odds Details →

NOTRE DAME

FIGHTING IRISHND

2-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
FIGHTING IRISH
0%
PANTHERS --
FIGHTING IRISH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NOTRE DAME
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Notre Dame)
PanthersEIU (-3.5) 0 Fighting IrishND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

46.0%

Fighting Irish Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ND -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ND)

EIU By 1-7 points

24.3%

EIU By 8-14 points

13.7%

ND By 1-7 points

26.2%

ND By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
61
EASTERN ILLINOIS
62
NOTRE DAME
Simulated Score
55
EASTERN ILLINOIS
78
NOTRE DAME
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Irish Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Irish Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Irish (+23.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Fighting Irish (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 EIU @ ND 58 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +25.3% more
Notre Dame: 13.5 vs Eastern Illinois: 10.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.6%
Notre Dame: 39.7% vs Eastern Illinois: 31.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.9%
Notre Dame: 45.8% vs Eastern Illinois: 39.0%
Blocks (L5) +43.4% more
Eastern Illinois: 3.5 vs Notre Dame: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EIU Score 61.0 58
ND Score 62.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.7 / 31.1 32.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.5 / 10.8 13.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.5 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 39.0 48.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 78.8 73.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 41.0 / 39.5 40.0 / 24.0
Steals 7.0 / 8.3 4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 15.6 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
0%MONEY100%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
ND Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU Advantage
15-13-2 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
ND
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.7
ND
22-9-0
O: 71.0% / U: 29.0% Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ND
EIU
ND
EIU
ML
65% 20-11
56% 18-14
77% 24-7
74% 23-8
ATS
55% 17-14
50% 16-16
77% 24-7
74% 23-8
TTL
68% 21-10
69% 22-10
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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