YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
1-0 | Road
97
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
1-1 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUIN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
YALE By 1-7 points
6.8%
YALE By 8-14 points
1.7%
QUIN By 1-7 points
18.6%
QUIN By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Yale
63
YALE
Quinnipiac
76
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
Yale
68
YALE
Quinnipiac
72
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
YALE @ QUIN
97 - 60
Nov 4, 2024
QUIN @ YALE
62 - 88
Dec 11, 2023
YALE @ QUIN
73 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.2% more
Quinnipiac: 4.8
vs
Yale: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+24.2% more
Quinnipiac: 11.4
vs
Yale: 9.2
Rebounding (L5)
+10.4% more
Quinnipiac: 36.9
vs
Yale: 33.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
Quinnipiac: 75.5%
vs
Yale: 73.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YALE Score
63.0
97
QUIN Score
76.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 41.1
21.0 / 56.0
Assists
11.9 / 16.9
9.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.1
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 48.0
39.0 / 59.0
Free Throw %
75.5 / 73.0
64.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 33.4
26.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.2
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 9.2
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
QUIN
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
QUIN
Advantage
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
YALE
QUIN
YALE
ML
66%
21-11
48%
15-16
53%
17-15
58%
18-13
ATS
59%
19-13
65%
20-11
53%
17-15
58%
18-13
TTL
62%
20-12
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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