Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Lions @ Sooners UAPB @ OU

ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF

GOLDEN LIONSUAPB

0-3  |  Road

69
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Howard McCasland Field House
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

1-1  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN LIONS
100%
📊
SOONERS
0%
GOLDEN LIONS --
SOONERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Oklahoma)
Golden LionsUAPB (-3.5) 0 SoonersOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Lions Cover

42.1%

Sooners Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

UAPB By 1-7 points

23.0%

UAPB By 8-14 points

12.2%

OU By 1-7 points

26.8%

OU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
69
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
57
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
88
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sooners Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sooners Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sooners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Sooners (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 UAPB @ OU 69 - 95
Nov 30, 2023 UAPB @ OU 86 - 107
Nov 11, 2022 UAPB @ OU 58 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +115.4% more
Oklahoma: 3.9 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 1.8
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Oklahoma: 44.7% vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 40.3%
Steals (L5) +22.2% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 6.9 vs Oklahoma: 5.3
Turnovers (L5) +16.0% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 14.8 vs Oklahoma: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UAPB Score 67.0 69
OU Score 69.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 30.6 37.0 / 28.0
Assists 11.5 / 11.9 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.9 / 1.8 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 40.3 49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 81.3 / 80.0 75.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 34.7 44.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.3 / 6.9 12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 14.8 9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAPB
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
OU Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAPB
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
OU Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.2
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
UAPB
OU
UAPB
ML
78% 28-8
74% 23-8
59% 20-14
73% 19-7
ATS
72% 26-10
73% 22-8-1
59% 20-14
73% 19-7
TTL
75% 27-9
68% 21-10
100% 34-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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