BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
2-0 | Road
66
DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
2-0 | Home
53
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
BLUE DEMONS
0%
BULLS
--
BLUE DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (DePaul)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEP -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)
BUF By 1-7 points
21.6%
BUF By 8-14 points
10.7%
DEP By 1-7 points
27.2%
DEP By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
72
BUFFALO
DePaul
75
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
Buffalo
72
BUFFALO
DePaul
78
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Demons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Demons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Demons (+18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Blue Demons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
BUF @ DEP
66 - 53
Dec 8, 2019
BUF @ DEP
74 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+111.1% more
DePaul: 5.7
vs
Buffalo: 2.7
Steals (L5)
+43.0% more
DePaul: 9.2
vs
Buffalo: 6.4
Assists (L5)
+23.2% more
DePaul: 15.1
vs
Buffalo: 12.2
Rebounding (L5)
+15.6% more
DePaul: 36.8
vs
Buffalo: 31.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
72.0
66
DEP Score
75.0
53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 35.9
36.0 / 41.0
Assists
15.1 / 12.2
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.7 / 2.7
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 47.2
33.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
64.6 / 70.8
50.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 31.8
39.0 / 34.0
Steals
9.2 / 6.4
4.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 10.2
20.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUF
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
DEP
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUF
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
DEP
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
BUF
DEP
BUF
ML
59%
19-13
45%
14-17
80%
24-6
45%
14-17
ATS
50%
16-16
55%
17-14
80%
24-6
45%
14-17
TTL
53%
17-15
48%
15-16
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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