MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
HAWKSUMES
1-3 | Road
50
NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
3-0 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
CORNHUSKERS
0%
HAWKS
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
UMES By 1-7 points
24.3%
UMES By 8-14 points
13.7%
NEB By 1-7 points
26.2%
NEB By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
38
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Nebraska
39
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
58
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Nebraska
85
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers (+36.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
UMES @ NEB
50 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+55.2% more
Nebraska: 21.7
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 14.0
Steals (L5)
+21.5% more
Nebraska: 8.2
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 6.8
Rebounding (L5)
+13.1% more
Nebraska: 39.5
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 34.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
Nebraska: 67.6%
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 61.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
38.0
50
NEB Score
39.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.3 / 37.9
19.0 / 32.0
Assists
21.7 / 14.0
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 48.7
39.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
67.6 / 61.8
83.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 34.9
40.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.8
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 19.4
7.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
UMES
NEB
UMES
ML
51%
18-17
66%
21-11
62%
21-13
81%
21-5
ATS
54%
19-16
69%
22-10
62%
21-13
81%
21-5
TTL
63%
22-13
66%
21-11
100%
34-0
100%
26-0
Contextual Game News
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