QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
1-2 | Road
81
DUQUESNE
DUKESDUQ
2-0 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
DUKES
100%
ROYALS
--
DUKES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DUQ +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)
QUC By 1-7 points
27.2%
QUC By 8-14 points
20.1%
DUQ By 1-7 points
21.6%
DUQ By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
73
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Duquesne
70
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
Queens University
65
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Duquesne
76
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dukes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dukes (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Dukes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
QUC @ DUQ
81 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+13.9% more
Queens University: 14.6
vs
Duquesne: 12.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Queens University: 38.8%
vs
Duquesne: 31.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Queens University: 50.9%
vs
Duquesne: 47.2%
Steals (L5)
+82.9% more
Duquesne: 7.2
vs
Queens University: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
73.0
81
DUQ Score
70.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 38.8
17.0 / 28.0
Assists
16.0 / 15.0
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.0
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 50.9
50.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 71.1
57.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 29.8
42.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.2 / 3.9
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 14.6
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
DUQ
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
DUQ
Advantage
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
QUC
DUQ
QUC
ML
53%
17-15
71%
25-10
58%
18-13
71%
24-10
ATS
69%
22-10
86%
30-5
58%
18-13
71%
24-10
TTL
50%
16-16
47%
16-18-1
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
