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AUSTIN PEAY

GOVERNORSAPSU

2-0  |  Road

65
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 8:30 PM ET
Arena-Auditorium
View Odds Details →

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

2-0  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
GOVERNORS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
GOVERNORS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wyoming)
GovernorsAPSU (-3.5) 0 CowboysWYO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Governors Cover

46.0%

Cowboys Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WYO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)

APSU By 1-7 points

24.3%

APSU By 8-14 points

13.7%

WYO By 1-7 points

26.2%

WYO By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
71
AUSTIN PEAY
72
WYOMING
Simulated Score
65
AUSTIN PEAY
72
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 APSU @ WYO 65 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +13.6% more
Wyoming: 40.1 vs Austin Peay: 35.3
Blocks (L5) +47.7% more
Austin Peay: 3.5 vs Wyoming: 1.8
Steals (L5) +41.1% more
Austin Peay: 12.2 vs Wyoming: 7.2
Assists (L5) +24.6% more
Austin Peay: 18.6 vs Wyoming: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
APSU Score 71.0 65
WYO Score 72.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 36.6 36.0 / 22.0
Assists 14.0 / 18.6 21.0 / 6.0
Blocks 1.8 / 3.5 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 49.1 43.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 60.3 / 71.4 70.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 40.1 / 35.3 45.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.2 / 12.2 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 12.2 16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
APSU Advantage
22-9-0 (71.0%)
Margin: 8.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
WYO
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
APSU Advantage
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
WYO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
APSU
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +2.2
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
APSU
WYO
APSU
ML
52% 17-16
53% 16-14
70% 23-10
59% 16-11
ATS
64% 21-12
57% 17-13
70% 23-10
59% 16-11
TTL
64% 21-12
57% 17-13
100% 33-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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