LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
LIONSLMU
3-0 | Road
71
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
2-0 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
MINERS
100%
LIONS
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTEP +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)
LMU By 1-7 points
26.2%
LMU By 8-14 points
16.9%
UTEP By 1-7 points
24.3%
UTEP By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Marymount
75
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
UTEP
74
UTEP
Simulated Score
Loyola Marymount
68
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
UTEP
72
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Miners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Miners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Miners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 11, 2025
LMU @ UTEP
71 - 58
Nov 25, 2023
UTEP @ LMU
47 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+14.9% more
Loyola Marymount: 19.2
vs
UTEP: 16.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Loyola Marymount: 40.3%
vs
UTEP: 34.6%
Steals (L5)
+41.0% more
UTEP: 10.4
vs
Loyola Marymount: 7.4
Blocks (L5)
+20.4% more
UTEP: 4.8
vs
Loyola Marymount: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LMU Score
75.0
71
UTEP Score
74.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 40.3
43.0 / 46.0
Assists
16.3 / 19.2
12.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.0
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 49.8
35.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
69.5 / 68.9
75.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 36.8
25.0 / 39.0
Steals
10.4 / 7.4
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 9.2
8.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LMU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LMU
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
UTEP
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
LMU
UTEP
LMU
ML
70%
21-9
53%
17-15
72%
21-8
50%
16-16
ATS
57%
17-13
47%
15-17
73%
22-8
50%
16-16
TTL
60%
18-12
62%
20-12
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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