Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bluejays @ Bulldogs CREI @ GONZ

CREIGHTON

BLUEJAYSCREI

1-0  |  Road

63
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 10:00 PM ET
McCarthey Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

GONZAGA

BULLDOGSGONZ

2-0  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
BLUEJAYS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
BLUEJAYS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
GONZAGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BluejaysCREI (-3.5) 0 BulldogsGONZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bluejays Cover

27.4%

Bulldogs Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GONZ +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GONZ)

CREI By 1-7 points

26.8%

CREI By 8-14 points

24.3%

GONZ By 1-7 points

16.9%

GONZ By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
88
CREIGHTON
82
GONZAGA
Simulated Score
76
CREIGHTON
81
GONZAGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bluejays Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o165.5 Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 CREI @ GONZ 63 - 90
Mar 28, 2021 CREI @ GONZ 65 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.4% more
Creighton: 11.6 vs Gonzaga: 9.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
Creighton: 36.2% vs Gonzaga: 33.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.5%
Creighton: 72.6% vs Gonzaga: 70.2%
Steals (L5) +80.3% more
Gonzaga: 7.7 vs Creighton: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CREI Score 88.0 63
GONZ Score 82.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 36.2 33.0 / 28.0
Assists 20.2 / 17.9 19.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.3 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 49.7 53.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 72.6 54.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 42.2 / 36.9 41.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.7 / 4.3 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 11.6 7.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CREI
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
GONZ Advantage
31-4-0 (88.6%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CREI
11-22-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: -2.9
GONZ Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: +0.1
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GONZ
CREI
GONZ
CREI
ML
71% 25-10
52% 17-16
69% 20-9
70% 21-9
ATS
69% 24-11
58% 19-14
69% 20-9
70% 21-9
TTL
57% 20-15
52% 17-16
100% 29-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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