SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
7-6-3 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
7-7-3 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 0.96 | 0.966 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 1.91 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.96 Ldr
GAA
1.91
0.966 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
WILD
0%
SHARKS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
MIN @ SJ
3 - 4
Nov 11, 2025
SJ @ MIN
2 - 1
Oct 26, 2025
SJ @ MIN
6 - 5
Apr 9, 2025
SJ @ MIN
7 - 8
Jan 11, 2025
MIN @ SJ
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+19.1% more
Minnesota: 5.0
vs
San Jose: 4.2
Hits (L5)
+18.8% more
Minnesota: 20.1
vs
San Jose: 16.9
Power Play % (L5)
+8.3%
Minnesota: 16.0%
vs
San Jose: 7.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.6%
Minnesota: 45.1%
vs
San Jose: 43.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
3.0
2
MIN Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 16.5
16.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
45.1 / 43.5
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
20.1 / 16.9
16.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
16.0 / 7.7
25.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
23.9 / 24.4
29.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.2
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SJ
MIN
SJ
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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