ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
11-3-1 | Road
1
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
10-1-5 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.06 | 0.914 | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 1.00 | 0.972 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.06
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.914
Save %
Ldr 0.972
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
DUCKS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
ANA By 1 goal
2.8%
ANA By 2-3 goals
1.2%
COL By 1 goal
12.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u7.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
COL @ ANA
5 - 1
Jan 21, 2026
ANA @ COL
2 - 1
Nov 11, 2025
ANA @ COL
1 - 4
Apr 13, 2025
COL @ ANA
4 - 2
Dec 20, 2024
COL @ ANA
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.4% more
Colorado: 33.3
vs
Anaheim: 26.1
Power Play % (L5)
+1.5%
Colorado: 29.1%
vs
Anaheim: 27.6%
Hits (L5)
+21.6% more
Anaheim: 19.1
vs
Colorado: 14.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.0
1
COL Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 14.7
13.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
45.8 / 45.5
51.7 / 48.3
Hits
14.9 / 19.1
16.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
29.1 / 27.6
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.3 / 26.1
36.0 / 36.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 4.6
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
ANA
COL
ANA
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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