INDIANA
PACERSIND
1-9 | Road
128
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
3-7 | Home
152
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
JAZZ
0%
PACERS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
IND By 1-7 points
0.0%
IND By 8-14 points
0.0%
UTAH By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
86
INDIANA
Utah
133
UTAH
Simulated Score
Indiana
109
INDIANA
Utah
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.0
Loss
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
UTAH @ IND
131 - 122
Nov 11, 2025
IND @ UTAH
128 - 152
Apr 4, 2025
UTAH @ IND
112 - 140
Feb 3, 2025
IND @ UTAH
112 - 111
Jan 15, 2024
IND @ UTAH
105 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.8% more
Utah: 25.0
vs
Indiana: 20.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.4%
Utah: 73.0%
vs
Indiana: 65.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Utah: 41.3%
vs
Indiana: 38.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Utah: 30.0%
vs
Indiana: 28.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
86.0
128
UTAH Score
133.0
152
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 28.0
45.0 / 27.0
Assists
25.0 / 20.3
38.0 / 29.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.8
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.3 / 38.2
55.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.0 / 65.6
89.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 44.3
45.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.7
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 14.9
15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
UTAH
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
IND
UTAH
IND
ML
60%
96-63
48%
47-50
48%
40-43
54%
45-38
ATS
68%
108-51
59%
57-40
48%
40-43
54%
45-38
TTL
75%
119-39-1
54%
52-45
100%
83-0
100%
83-0
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