TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
5-5 | Road
119
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
1-9 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
NETS
100%
RAPTORS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
257.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
TOR By 1-7 points
24.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
26.8%
BKN By 1-7 points
12.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
133
TORONTO
Brooklyn
124
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Toronto
108
TORONTO
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o232.0
Loss
Proj Total: 257.0
D
Sim
u232.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
BKN @ TOR
101 - 136
Dec 21, 2025
TOR @ BKN
81 - 96
Nov 23, 2025
BKN @ TOR
109 - 119
Nov 11, 2025
TOR @ BKN
119 - 109
Apr 6, 2025
TOR @ BKN
120 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+12.8% more
Toronto: 6.9
vs
Brooklyn: 6.0
Assists (L5)
+10.1% more
Toronto: 24.0
vs
Brooklyn: 21.5
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Toronto: 37.4
vs
Brooklyn: 34.4
Blocks (L5)
+8.0% more
Toronto: 4.7
vs
Brooklyn: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
133.0
119
BKN Score
124.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 35.9
34.0 / 26.0
Assists
21.5 / 24.0
24.0 / 31.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.7
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 47.4
40.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 69.4
97.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 37.4
36.0 / 50.0
Steals
6.0 / 6.9
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 10.3
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
TOR
BKN
TOR
ML
53%
50-45
55%
57-47
59%
48-34
55%
48-39
ATS
52%
48-44-3
61%
62-40-2
59%
48-34
55%
48-39
TTL
57%
54-41
60%
62-42
100%
82-0
100%
87-0
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