MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
4-7 | Road
120
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
6-3 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
0%
KNICKS
100%
GRIZZLIES
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
MEM By 1-7 points
2.2%
MEM By 8-14 points
8.0%
NY By 1-7 points
0.3%
NY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
123
MEMPHIS
New York
96
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Memphis
104
MEMPHIS
New York
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies (-10)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.5
Loss
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
NY @ MEM
130 - 119
Nov 11, 2025
MEM @ NY
120 - 133
Feb 28, 2025
NY @ MEM
114 - 113
Jan 27, 2025
MEM @ NY
106 - 143
Feb 6, 2024
MEM @ NY
113 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+14.0% more
Memphis: 13.5
vs
New York: 11.6
Steals (L5)
+32.9% more
New York: 7.5
vs
Memphis: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+8.8% more
New York: 26.6
vs
Memphis: 24.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
New York: 49.8%
vs
Memphis: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
123.0
120
NY Score
96.0
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.4 / 35.5
40.0 / 37.0
Assists
26.6 / 24.4
35.0 / 36.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.2
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.8 / 42.4
48.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 70.5
85.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
41.2 / 41.6
44.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.6
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 13.5
15.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
MEM
NY
MEM
ML
61%
114-72
57%
59-44
56%
57-45
50%
41-41
ATS
67%
124-62
63%
65-38
56%
57-45
50%
41-41
TTL
72%
133-53
70%
71-31-1
100%
102-0
100%
82-0
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