BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
5-6 | Road
100
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
6-4 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
76ERS
100%
CELTICS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
18.6%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.8%
PHI By 1-7 points
6.8%
PHI By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
117
BOSTON
Philadelphia
104
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Boston
109
BOSTON
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 2, 2026
PHI @ BOS
109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026
BOS @ PHI
93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026
PHI @ BOS
113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026
BOS @ PHI
128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.0% more
Boston: 9.1
vs
Philadelphia: 6.9
Blocks (L5)
+64.6% more
Philadelphia: 5.9
vs
Boston: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+43.3% more
Philadelphia: 15.6
vs
Boston: 10.9
Rebounding (L5)
+12.3% more
Philadelphia: 41.0
vs
Boston: 36.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
117.0
100
PHI Score
104.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 34.4
39.0 / 34.0
Assists
23.1 / 21.9
24.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.9 / 3.6
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 46.4
43.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 67.3
84.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 36.5
44.0 / 53.0
Steals
6.9 / 9.1
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.6 / 10.9
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
63%
69-40
57%
61-46
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
ATS
65%
71-38
59%
61-43-3
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
TTL
55%
60-49
56%
60-47
100%
93-0
100%
88-0
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