Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Huskies COLU @ CONN

COLUMBIA

LIONSCOLU

1-0  |  Road

62
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 6:30 PM ET
Gampel Pavilion
View Odds Details →

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

2-0  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
LIONS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (UConn)
LionsCOLU (-3.5) 0 HuskiesCONN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

38.2%

Huskies Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

COLU By 1-7 points

21.6%

COLU By 8-14 points

10.7%

CONN By 1-7 points

27.2%

CONN By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
69
COLUMBIA
72
UCONN
Simulated Score
58
COLUMBIA
88
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 COLU @ CONN 62 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +75.1% more
UConn: 9.1 vs Columbia: 5.2
Blocks (L5) +70.3% more
UConn: 5.5 vs Columbia: 3.2
Rebounding (L5) +10.5% more
UConn: 40.4 vs Columbia: 36.5
Assists (L5) +10.4% more
UConn: 17.6 vs Columbia: 15.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLU Score 69.0 62
CONN Score 72.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 34.5 43.0 / 24.0
Assists 17.6 / 15.9 22.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.5 / 3.2 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 47.6 57.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 79.1 / 68.8 66.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 40.4 / 36.5 34.0 / 32.0
Steals 9.1 / 5.2 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 12.3 6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLU
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLU Advantage
13-13-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
CONN
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2% Total +/-: -1.1
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
COLU
CONN
COLU
ML
76% 29-9
44% 12-15
66% 23-12
56% 15-12
ATS
74% 28-10
59% 16-11
66% 23-12
56% 15-12
TTL
50% 19-19
74% 20-7
100% 35-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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