Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Black Bears @ Scarlet Knights ME @ RUTG

MAINE

BLACK BEARSME

0-2  |  Road

60
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 6:30 PM ET
Jersey Mike’s Arena
View Odds Details →

RUTGERS

SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG

1-0  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
100%
📊
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
BLACK BEARS --
SCARLET KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Rutgers)
Black BearsME (-3.5) 0 Scarlet KnightsRUTG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Black Bears Cover

34.5%

Scarlet Knights Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)

ME By 1-7 points

20.1%

ME By 8-14 points

9.3%

RUTG By 1-7 points

27.4%

RUTG By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
78
MAINE
82
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
56
MAINE
78
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Scarlet Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Scarlet Knights (+17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Scarlet Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o129.5 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u129.5 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 ME @ RUTG 60 - 72
Dec 30, 2021 ME @ RUTG 64 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +51.0% more
Rutgers: 13.1 vs Maine: 8.7
Rebounding (L5) +28.9% more
Rutgers: 38.2 vs Maine: 29.6
Blocks (L5) +23.4% more
Rutgers: 4.9 vs Maine: 3.9
Steals (L5) +9.7% more
Rutgers: 7.9 vs Maine: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ME Score 78.0 60
RUTG Score 82.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.0 / 23.0 42.0 / 45.0
Assists 13.1 / 8.7 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.9 / 3.9 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 39.7 46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 69.6 / 67.2 62.0 / 54.0
Rebounding 38.2 / 29.6 37.0 / 23.0
Steals 7.9 / 7.2 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 10.7 14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
RUTG Advantage
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
RUTG Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -2.8
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
ME
RUTG
ME
ML
53% 18-16
45% 14-17
70% 23-10
52% 16-15
ATS
68% 23-11
55% 17-14
70% 23-10
52% 16-15
TTL
53% 18-16
55% 17-14
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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