Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hornets @ Purple Eagles DSU @ NIA

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

0-2  |  Road

57
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 6:30 PM ET
Gallagher Center
View Odds Details →

NIAGARA

PURPLE EAGLESNIA

1-1  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
PURPLE EAGLES
0%
HORNETS --
PURPLE EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NIAGARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Niagara)
HornetsDSU (-3.5) 0 Purple EaglesNIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

27.4%

Purple Eagles Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NIA -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIA)

DSU By 1-7 points

16.9%

DSU By 8-14 points

6.8%

NIA By 1-7 points

26.8%

NIA By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
68
DELAWARE STATE
74
NIAGARA
Simulated Score
67
DELAWARE STATE
73
NIAGARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Purple Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Purple Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Purple Eagles (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Purple Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 DSU @ NIA 57 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +115.9% more
Niagara: 3.4 vs Delaware State: 1.6
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
Niagara: 44.0% vs Delaware State: 38.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
Niagara: 32.9% vs Delaware State: 30.2%
Turnovers (L5) +19.4% more
Delaware State: 14.4 vs Niagara: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DSU Score 68.0 57
NIA Score 74.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 30.2 50.0 / 32.0
Assists 9.1 / 9.5 24.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.4 / 1.6 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 38.9 53.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 75.8 64.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 31.6 / 34.0 30.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.7 / 7.9 2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 14.4 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
NIA Advantage
8-22-0 (26.7%)
Margin: -7.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
NIA Advantage
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIA
DSU
NIA
DSU
ML
55% 16-13
60% 18-12
72% 21-8
75% 18-6
ATS
69% 20-9
60% 18-12
72% 21-8
72% 18-7
TTL
55% 16-13
57% 17-13
100% 29-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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