Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Panthers EMU @ PITT

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

1-0  |  Road

66
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Petersen Events Center
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

2-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
EAGLES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Pittsburgh)
EaglesEMU (-3.5) 0 PanthersPITT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

6.7%

Panthers Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PITT -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)

EMU By 1-7 points

4.8%

EMU By 8-14 points

1.1%

PITT By 1-7 points

15.3%

PITT By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
EASTERN MICHIGAN
79
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
62
EASTERN MICHIGAN
78
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 EMU @ PITT 66 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.1% more
Pittsburgh: 13.6 vs Eastern Michigan: 10.4
Blocks (L5) +9.7% more
Pittsburgh: 3.6 vs Eastern Michigan: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5) +6.5%
Pittsburgh: 76.5% vs Eastern Michigan: 70.0%
Steals (L5) +27.4% more
Eastern Michigan: 8.4 vs Pittsburgh: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EMU Score 64.0 66
PITT Score 79.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 34.6 33.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.6 / 10.4 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.3 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 44.7 50.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 76.5 / 70.0 52.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 39.3 38.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.4 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 12.5 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
PITT Advantage
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
PITT
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
EMU
PITT
EMU
ML
58% 19-14
65% 20-11
45% 15-18
70% 21-9
ATS
64% 21-12
65% 20-11
45% 15-18
70% 21-9
TTL
61% 20-13
71% 22-9
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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