Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Golden Flashes UNCW @ KENT

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

1-0  |  Road

77
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

1-1  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
SEAHAWKS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
SeahawksUNCW (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

97.7%

Golden Flashes Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCW -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

UNCW By 1-7 points

8.0%

UNCW By 8-14 points

18.6%

KENT By 1-7 points

1.7%

KENT By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
80
UNC WILMINGTON
60
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
71
UNC WILMINGTON
76
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 UNCW @ KENT 77 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +27.2% more
UNC Wilmington: 4.0 vs Kent State: 2.9
Rebounding (L5) +12.8% more
UNC Wilmington: 43.1 vs Kent State: 37.6
Free Throw % (L5) +7.2%
UNC Wilmington: 77.0% vs Kent State: 69.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
UNC Wilmington: 46.9% vs Kent State: 45.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCW Score 80.0 77
KENT Score 60.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 32.0 44.0 / 25.0
Assists 14.6 / 15.7 22.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.9 / 4.0 7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 46.9 51.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 69.7 / 77.0 71.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 43.1 38.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.6 / 5.2 3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 11.5 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
KENT
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCW Advantage
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
UNCW
KENT
UNCW
ML
53% 18-16
64% 21-12
65% 22-12
52% 17-16
ATS
65% 22-12
58% 19-14
65% 22-12
52% 17-16
TTL
44% 15-19
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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