Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Stags @ Pirates FAIR @ HALL

FAIRFIELD

STAGSFAIR

1-1  |  Road

59
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Walsh Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

SETON HALL

PIRATESHALL

2-0  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
STAGS
100%
📊
PIRATES
0%
STAGS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Seton Hall)
StagsFAIR (-3.5) 0 PiratesHALL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stags Cover

18.4%

Pirates Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HALL -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)

FAIR By 1-7 points

12.2%

FAIR By 8-14 points

4.0%

HALL By 1-7 points

24.3%

HALL By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
59
FAIRFIELD
68
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
63
FAIRFIELD
76
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pirates Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pirates (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u135.5 Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 FAIR @ HALL 59 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +69.7% more
Seton Hall: 6.2 vs Fairfield: 3.7
Assists (L5) +8.3% more
Seton Hall: 12.3 vs Fairfield: 11.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Seton Hall: 29.9% vs Fairfield: 27.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Seton Hall: 42.0% vs Fairfield: 40.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAIR Score 59.0 59
HALL Score 68.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.9 / 27.3 29.0 / 39.0
Assists 12.3 / 11.4 13.0 / 6.0
Blocks 6.2 / 3.7 13.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 40.1 41.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 60.5 / 75.8 82.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 32.7 / 41.2 43.0 / 38.0
Steals 8.7 / 8.3 12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 11.9 7.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAIR
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
HALL Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAIR
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
HALL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FAIR
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -0.2
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
FAIR
HALL
FAIR
ML
41% 13-19
55% 18-15
60% 18-12
61% 20-13
ATS
50% 16-16
48% 16-17
60% 18-12
61% 20-13
TTL
53% 17-15
48% 16-17
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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