Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Aggies SCST @ NCAT

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

0-2  |  Road

62
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Corbett Sports Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

0-1  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
AGGIES
100%
BULLDOGS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (South Carolina State)
BulldogsSCST (-3.5) 0 AggiesNCAT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

78.8%

Aggies Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SCST -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)

SCST By 1-7 points

25.3%

SCST By 8-14 points

26.2%

NCAT By 1-7 points

13.7%

NCAT By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
66
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
58
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
72
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (-1) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.0 Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u160.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 SCST @ NCAT 62 - 85
Jan 3, 2021 NCAT @ SCST 73 - 66
Jan 2, 2021 NCAT @ SCST 97 - 86
Mar 2, 2020 NCAT @ SCST 76 - 65
Feb 3, 2020 SCST @ NCAT 63 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +37.1% more
South Carolina State: 4.5 vs North Carolina A&T: 2.8
Turnovers (L5) +25.5% more
South Carolina State: 16.5 vs North Carolina A&T: 12.3
Steals (L5) +23.1% more
South Carolina State: 7.8 vs North Carolina A&T: 6.0
Assists (L5) +19.6% more
South Carolina State: 12.6 vs North Carolina A&T: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 66.0 62
NCAT Score 58.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 32.7 25.0 / 40.0
Assists 10.1 / 12.6 15.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.8 / 4.5 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 38.1 / 39.6 45.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 78.7 73.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 32.5 45.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.0 / 7.8 14.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 16.5 19.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
NCAT Advantage
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCAT
SCST
NCAT
SCST
ML
52% 14-13
61% 19-12
63% 17-10
74% 20-7
ATS
63% 17-10
68% 21-10
64% 18-10
74% 20-7
TTL
69% 18-8-1
52% 16-15
100% 28-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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