AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
HATTERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
STET By 1-7 points
20.1%
STET By 8-14 points
9.3%
MIA By 1-7 points
27.4%
MIA By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
71
STETSON
Miami
75
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Stetson
65
STETSON
Miami
78
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
STET @ MIA
61 - 102
Dec 20, 2021
STET @ MIA
72 - 82
Dec 4, 2020
STET @ MIA
60 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+139.9% more
Miami: 5.2
vs
Stetson: 2.2
Steals (L5)
+27.2% more
Miami: 7.4
vs
Stetson: 5.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
Miami: 71.9%
vs
Stetson: 64.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Miami: 51.6%
vs
Stetson: 46.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
71.0
61
MIA Score
75.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 36.1
35.0 / 28.0
Assists
17.9 / 17.3
28.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.2 / 2.2
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.6 / 46.5
56.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 64.5
69.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 37.6
45.0 / 31.0
Steals
7.4 / 5.8
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 13.9
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
MIA
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
MIA
18-15-1
(54.6%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
STET
MIA
STET
ML
63%
22-13
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
73%
24-9
ATS
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
64%
21-12
73%
24-9
TTL
63%
22-13
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0