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LITTLE ROCK

TROJANSLR

1-0  |  Road

72
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 8:00 PM ET
UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

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92
AI Model Win Probability
TROJANS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
TROJANS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
LITTLE ROCK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Little Rock)
TrojansLR (-3.5) 0 PanthersMILW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trojans Cover

78.8%

Panthers Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LR -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LR)

LR By 1-7 points

25.3%

LR By 8-14 points

26.2%

MILW By 1-7 points

13.7%

MILW By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
74
LITTLE ROCK
66
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
71
LITTLE ROCK
76
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trojans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trojans (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 LR @ MILW 72 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +37.7% more
Little Rock: 14.7 vs Milwaukee: 9.2
Blocks (L5) +36.3% more
Little Rock: 5.3 vs Milwaukee: 3.4
Steals (L5) +20.6% more
Little Rock: 10.9 vs Milwaukee: 8.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
Little Rock: 37.4% vs Milwaukee: 32.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LR Score 74.0 72
MILW Score 66.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 37.4 47.0 / 50.0
Assists 15.6 / 15.7 18.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.4 / 5.3 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 46.4 54.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 63.3 / 64.7 78.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 34.7 32.0 / 26.0
Steals 8.7 / 10.9 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 14.7 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LR
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.0
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LR Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.0
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LR
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.0
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MILW
LR
MILW
LR
ML
50% 16-16
52% 16-15
69% 22-10
68% 17-8
ATS
47% 15-17
45% 14-17
69% 22-10
68% 17-8
TTL
59% 19-13
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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