NORTHERN ILLINOIS
HUSKIESNIU
1-1 | Road
59
GRAND CANYON
LOPESGCU
1-1 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
LOPES
0%
HUSKIES
--
LOPES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
GRAND CANYON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Grand Canyon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GCU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GCU)
NIU By 1-7 points
4.8%
NIU By 8-14 points
1.1%
GCU By 1-7 points
15.3%
GCU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Illinois
77
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Grand Canyon
92
GRAND CANYON
Simulated Score
Northern Illinois
65
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Grand Canyon
82
GRAND CANYON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lopes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lopes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lopes (+20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Lopes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
NIU @ GCU
59 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+94.3% more
Grand Canyon: 3.4
vs
Northern Illinois: 1.8
Rebounding (L5)
+11.9% more
Grand Canyon: 36.7
vs
Northern Illinois: 32.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
Grand Canyon: 71.5%
vs
Northern Illinois: 68.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Grand Canyon: 47.7%
vs
Northern Illinois: 45.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NIU Score
77.0
59
GCU Score
92.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.4 / 35.7
38.0 / 42.0
Assists
13.4 / 14.1
18.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.4 / 1.8
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 45.4
49.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 68.9
95.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 32.8
38.0 / 19.0
Steals
4.6 / 4.3
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 15.9
15.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
GCU
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -8.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
GCU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -4.8
GCU
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GCU
NIU
GCU
NIU
ML
66%
21-11
67%
20-10
68%
21-10
66%
19-10
ATS
72%
23-9
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
66%
19-10
TTL
44%
14-18
67%
20-10
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
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