Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Crusaders @ Utes HC @ UTAH

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

0-2  |  Road

69
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 9:00 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

2-0  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
📊
UTES
0%
CRUSADERS --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Utah)
CrusadersHC (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

15.9%

Utes Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

HC By 1-7 points

10.7%

HC By 8-14 points

3.3%

UTAH By 1-7 points

23.0%

UTAH By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
77
HOLY CROSS
87
UTAH
Simulated Score
63
HOLY CROSS
78
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Utes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Utes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Utes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Utes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 HC @ UTAH 69 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +56.2% more
Utah: 3.9 vs Holy Cross: 2.5
Rebounding (L5) +30.7% more
Utah: 43.4 vs Holy Cross: 33.2
Steals (L5) +26.0% more
Utah: 5.6 vs Holy Cross: 4.4
Assists (L5) +25.2% more
Utah: 14.5 vs Holy Cross: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HC Score 77.0 69
UTAH Score 87.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 31.3 33.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.5 / 11.5 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.5 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 41.4 53.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 65.7 / 60.5 79.0 / 48.0
Rebounding 43.4 / 33.2 40.0 / 28.0
Steals 5.6 / 4.4 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 13.8 6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
HC
UTAH
HC
ML
56% 18-14
52% 16-15
67% 20-10
61% 19-12
ATS
56% 18-14
55% 17-14
67% 20-10
64% 21-12
TTL
41% 13-19
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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