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FLORIDA ATLANTIC

FAUFAU

4-5  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 4:00 PM ET
Yulman Stadium
View Odds Details →

TULANE

TULANETULN

7-2  |  Home

35
Key Game
Josh Roberts
KEY GAME

Josh Roberts

#10 | Defensive Back
@
Jah'rie Garner
KEY GAME

Jah'rie Garner

#48 | Defensive End
Player
Josh Roberts None-None
Jah'rie Garner None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
FAU
100%
📊
TULANE
0%
FAU --
TULANE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
65.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Tulane)
FAUFAU (-3.5) 0 TulaneTULN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

FAU Cover

41.5%

Tulane Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TULN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)

FAU By 1-6 points

15.3%

FAU By 7-13 points

12.9%

TULN By 1-6 points

17.0%

TULN By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
31
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
34
TULANE
Simulated Score
20
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
27
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tulane Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Tulane Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tulane (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Sim Tulane (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o60.5 Loss
Proj Total: 65.0
C
Sim u60.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 FAU @ TULN 24 - 35
Nov 18, 2023 TULN @ FAU 24 - 8
Nov 2, 2013 TULN @ FAU 17 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +46.5% more
Tulane: 138.2 vs Florida Atlantic: 94.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +12.0% more
Tulane: 0.5 vs Florida Atlantic: 0.3
Turnovers (L5) +17.2% more
Florida Atlantic: 1.6 vs Tulane: 1.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAU Score 31.0 24
TULN Score 34.0 35
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.9 / 20.5 21.0 / 32.0
Rushing Yards 138.2 / 94.3 162.0 / 97.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.42 / 0.43
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.4 0.49 / 0.51
Total Yards 429.0 / 419.2 403.0 / 472.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 1.6 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.6 ATS +/-: +4.0
TULN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.6 ATS +/-: +4.0
TULN
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FAU
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +3.3
TULN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
FAU
TULN
FAU
ML
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
ATS
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
TTL
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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