Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Coastal @ GA Southern CCU @ GASO

COASTAL CAROLINA

COASTALCCU

6-3  |  Road

40
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 6:00 PM ET
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

GA SOUTHERNGASO

4-5  |  Home

45
Key Game
Chris Henry
KEY GAME

Chris Henry

#17 | Safety
@
Tripp Bryant
KEY GAME

Tripp Bryant

#95 | Place kicker
Player
Chris Henry None-None
Tripp Bryant None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COASTAL
100%
📊
GA SOUTHERN
0%
COASTAL --
GA SOUTHERN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
65.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Georgia Southern)
CoastalCCU (-3.5) 0 GA SouthernGASO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Coastal Cover

21.6%

GA Southern Cover

78.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GASO -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)

CCU By 1-6 points

10.0%

CCU By 7-13 points

6.6%

GASO By 1-6 points

14.7%

GASO By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
27
COASTAL CAROLINA
38
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
24
COASTAL CAROLINA
31
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI GA Southern Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim GA Southern Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI GA Southern (-3) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Sim GA Southern (-3) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o59.5 Win
Proj Total: 65.0
C
Sim u59.5 Loss
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 GASO @ CCU 31 - 24
Nov 15, 2025 CCU @ GASO 40 - 45
Nov 23, 2024 GASO @ CCU 26 - 6
Sep 30, 2023 CCU @ GASO 28 - 38
Oct 1, 2022 GASO @ CCU 30 - 34
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +28.4% more
Georgia Southern: 23.1 vs Coastal Carolina: 18.0
Turnovers (L5) +53.2% more
Coastal Carolina: 1.1 vs Georgia Southern: 0.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +43.2% more
Coastal Carolina: 245.7 vs Georgia Southern: 139.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 27.0 40
GASO Score 38.0 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.1 / 18.0 24.0 / 24.0
Rushing Yards 139.6 / 245.7 312.0 / 204.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.42 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 407.9 / 389.3 653.0 / 482.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 1.1 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
GASO Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
GASO Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.9
GASO
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
CCU
GASO
CCU
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
TTL
0% 0-5
25% 1-3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Brandon Graham's Cryptic Take on Lane Johnson's Absence Raises E…
yahoo 3 days, 19 hours ago
Johnson's Fourth-Quarter Heroics Propel Georgia Southern Over Co…
abcnews 4 days, 17 hours ago
Mississippi State vs Alabama: Heavy Rain and Storms Threaten Wee…
yahoo 6 days, 23 hours ago
Houston Looks to Rebound at Georgia Southern After Tough Loss to…
yahoo 1 week, 5 days ago
Liberty's Second-Half Surge Overwhelms Coastal Carolina in 34-17…
ctinsider 1 week, 6 days ago